The Unrepentant Individual

...just hanging around until Dec 21, 2012


November 23, 2006


2006 NCAA Football Predictions — Week 13 part 1

As you can see, I’ve been busy today. So I’m going to make a pick in tonights’ Boston College/Miami game, and will get to the other games of the weekend later…

#18 Boston College (9-2, 5-2) @ Miami-FL (5-6, 2-5)
Vegas Says: Boston College -3.5

This is an odd one. You have Boston College, a team going through an absolutely great season, with only close losses to NC State and Wake Forest. Then, you’ve got Miami who has been an emotional basketcase, and has lost several blowout games. Somehow, though, the line started around 4.5 and has been trending downwards late to 3.5… It’s almost like someone out there really believes Miami will put it together in this one.

Statistically, BC is scoring a good 10 points more per game, and allowing 1 less. So I don’t see a reason to think they won’t be capable of covering, even factoring in Miami’s home field advantage. BC has only scored less than 20 in their two losses, and I don’t expect them to do it tonight. Miami has had trouble scoring more than 15 in their six losses, and I doubt they’ll do it today against BC’s defense.

I don’t know why these lines are trending downwards, but I think BC covers easily.

Prediction: Boston College covers
Predicted Final Score: Boston College 27, Miami 13
Final Score: Miami 17, Boston College 14
Prediction: WRONG

UPDATE: Wow, the Miami defense played lights-out today. Boston College never got it going on offense. Truthfully, neither did Miami. Three interceptions, including one returned for a touchdown, really hurt them today. They really didn’t sustain long drives, but they had a couple of big deep shots that got them just enough to get the lead, and then the defense took over.


The Unrepentant Individual linked with 2006 NCAA Football Predictions — Week 13 part 3
The Unrepentant Individual linked with 2006 NCAA Football Predictions — Week 13 part 2
Posted By: Brad Warbiany @ 6:06 pm || Permalink || Comments (3) || Trackback URL || Categories: College Football, Predictions

3 Comments

  1. Happy Thanksgiving! I can’t believe I am sending you holiday greetings via the blogoshpere. Have fun shopping. That’s some effen pandemonium that I don’t want to deal with.

    Comment by Mark — November 24, 2006 @ 4:20 am
  2. [...] 2006 NCAA Football Predictions — Week 13 part 1 [...]

  3. [...] 2006 NCAA Football Predictions — Week 13 part 1 [...]

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